{"id":16370,"date":"2015-04-24T17:41:47","date_gmt":"2015-04-24T09:41:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wp-productionenv-bjg9h2g2bgg5b8aa.southeastasia-01.azurewebsites.net\/news\/astronomers-hopeful-hubble-will-make-it-to-30th-anniversary\/"},"modified":"2015-04-24T17:41:47","modified_gmt":"2015-04-24T09:41:47","slug":"astronomers-hopeful-hubble-will-make-it-to-30th-anniversary","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/news\/astronomers-hopeful-hubble-will-make-it-to-30th-anniversary\/","title":{"rendered":"Astronomers hopeful Hubble will make it to 30th anniversary"},"content":{"rendered":"

STORY WRITTEN FOR ASTRONOMY NOW & USED WITH PERMISSION<\/p>\n

\"The
The Hubble Space Telescope after deployment from space shuttle Columbia during a 2002 servicing mission. Credit: NASA<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

More than five years after a final shuttle servicing mission \u2014 and a quarter of a century since its launch in April 1990 \u2014 the Hubble Space Telescope is operating in near flawless fashion, and engineers are optimistic the observatory will remain on the forefront of astronomy at least through 2020 \u2014 its 30th anniversary \u2014 if not beyond.<\/p>\n

How long Hubble might actually last \u201cis the biggest question we keep getting from people, because everybody is used to something on Hubble breaking every five years,\u201d said Jason Kalirai, a researcher at the Space Telescope Science Institute at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore. \u201cThat\u2019s its history, and it\u2019s been five years since its last servicing mission now. I think people are a little bit nervous.\u201d<\/p>\n

But he said engineers at NASA\u2019s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, are doing \u201ca wonderful job\u201d managing the telescope systems to minimize stress and so far, the observatory remains in excellent health<\/p>\n

\u201cAlso, at a very basic level, there\u2019s a lot of redundancy built into Hubble, too,\u201d he said. \u201cRight now, we have two ultraviolet spectrographs, we have two visible light cameras. They have slightly different capabilities, but even if you only had half of the instruments on Hubble or something, it would still be, by far, the most powerful telescope that we have in the world.\u201d<\/p>\n

While instrument failures or the eventual loss of stabilizing gyroscopes, fine guidance sensors or other critical systems will one day force NASA managers to decide whether the cost of continued operations is justified by whatever science might still be possible, engineering projections show that day likely remains a long way off.<\/p>\n

The telescope\u2019s two newest instruments, the Wide Field Camera 3 and the Cosmic Origins Spectrograph \u2014 installed during the final shuttle visit in 2009 \u2014 have a better than 98 percent chance of remaining functional through 2020, according to a statistical analysis carried out last year by the NASA Engineering and Safety Center.<\/p>\n

Two other instruments that were repaired by spacewalking astronauts during the last shuttle visit no longer have internal redundancy and any significant component failures could knock them out of action. Even so, both are operating normally and the analysis shows the Advanced Camera for Surveys and the Space Telescope Imaging Spectrograph both have a better than 85 percent chance of making it another five years.<\/p>\n

Other critical systems, including the telescope\u2019s solar arrays, solar array drive electronics, radio transmitters, gyros and reaction wheel assemblies, used to move the telescope to aim at astronomical targets, all have a better than 95 percent shot at making it past 2020.<\/p>\n

The observatory\u2019s fine guidance sensors, which keep it locked onto its targets with mind boggling precision, and the payload computer used to control the science instruments, have a better than 80 percent chance.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe continue to work on guessing what could go wrong, what we could do to compensate for that if it does, but that\u2019s really what we\u2019re working on right now, to try to make sure as these things happen that we can handle them,\u201d said James Jeletic, deputy project manager of Hubble operations at the Goddard Space Flight Center.<\/p>\n

\u201cBut there\u2019s nothing giving us any signs of anything right now. I mean, we\u2019re sitting almost fat, dumb and happy about it all, (saying) are we really this lucky? But we\u2019re knocking on wood, hoping it continues for as long as possible.\u201d<\/p>\n

The Hubble Space Telescope was launched aboard the shuttle Discovery on April 24, 1990. It was equipped with five science instruments: the Wide Field\/Planetary Camera 1, the European Space Agency\u2019s Faint Object Camera, the Goddard High Resolution Spectrograph, a Faint Object Spectrograph and a High Speed Photometer.<\/p>\n

During a shuttle servicing flight in December 1993, spacewalking astronauts installed a replacement Wide Field\/Planetary Camera with built-in corrective optics to counteract the blurring caused by Hubble\u2019s famously-flawed 94.5-inch primary mirror. They also replaced the High Speed Photometer with a device known as COSTAR that used another set of corrective mirrors to route focused starlight to Hubble\u2019s other instruments.<\/p>\n

The shuttle astronauts also replaced the telescope\u2019s two overly flexible solar panels, installed a new solar array drive electronics unit, magnetometers, a computer coprocessor, two gyroscopes and associated electronics and other components.<\/p>\n

During the next three shuttle servicing missions, spacewalking astronauts upgraded Hubble\u2019s instruments and replaced or installed a variety of critical components, including reaction wheel assemblies, a refurbished fine guidance sensor, various computer components, insulation, data interface units, computer memory, a full set of gyroscopes, new batteries and a faster main computer.<\/p>\n

During the fifth and final shuttle visit in 2009, astronauts replaced the Wide Field\/Planetary Camera 2 with the Wide Field Camera 3 and installed the Cosmic Origins Spectrograph in place of the no-longer-needed COSTAR. The also repaired the Advanced Camera for Surveys and the Space Telescope Imaging Spectrograph.<\/p>\n

The astronauts replaced all six of the telescope\u2019s nickel-hydrogen batteries, installed a refurbished fine guidance sensor, installed new insulation blankets, attached a grapple fixture to the base of the observatory and replaced a science instrument control computer.<\/p>\n

Jeletic said all of Hubble\u2019s science instruments are operating normally, with no signs of any trouble, including the repaired ACS and STIS. While both are operating in \u201csingle string\u201d mode without any internal redundancy, both are \u201cstill healthy, still being used like crazy,\u201d Jeletic said. \u201cAgain, we\u2019ve run longer on ACS repaired than we did on ACS originally.\u201d<\/p>\n

Gyroscopes have long been a concern with Hubble. It is equipped with six but only uses three for normal operations; the others are held in reserve, powered down but ready to be activated on a moment\u2019s notice.<\/p>\n

One of Hubble\u2019s six gyros failed last year, presumably because a hair-thin flex wire carrying power to the device broke or separated after more than 50,000 hours of operation \u2014 a near record. That gyro, and two others, use an older style flex wire design while the other three were built with silver-coated \u201cenhanced\u201d flex wires to improve durability.<\/p>\n

Of the five remaining gyros aboard Hubble, one had to be powered down because of electronic \u201cnoise\u201d in its circuitry. But engineers developed software to compensate and while the gyro remains powered down, it is considered fully operational and ready for use when needed.<\/p>\n

Because of earlier gyro problems, engineers developed complex software \u201ccontrol laws\u201d to enable Hubble to carry out high-priority observations using two gyros or even one.<\/p>\n

Depending on what might fail down the road, mission managers will have the option of downshifting to a reduced set of gyros to maximize the lifetime of the remaining units.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe want to optimize that situation and get as much science back as we can while all the instruments are truly working,\u201d Jeletic said in an earlier interview. \u201cSo we\u2019re going to stay in three-gyro mode. If that changes, if all the sudden we\u2019ve lost two instruments or something, we may take another look at that. Or, if we end up losing gyros over time and we\u2019re down to two gyros, then we will automatically jump to the one-gyro mode and put one in reserve. That\u2019s the game plan.\u201d<\/p>\n

But for now, Hubble has five healthy gyros, its batteries are in excellent shape and its fine guidance sensors, needed to keep the telescope locked onto its targets, are hanging in despite some minor degradation in one.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe just use that one less than we use the others so that it lasts longer,\u201d Jeletic said.<\/p>\n

Because of a phenomenon known as \u201cdesorption,\u201d in which atoms and molecules making up a spacecraft\u2019s components can slowly migrate to the surrounding environment over time, the structure holding Hubble\u2019s primary and secondary mirrors is ever so slightly shrinking, requiring periodic tweaks of the secondary mirror\u2019s position to keep the telescope in focus. The most recent adjustment came in early February.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe can still take images, but we try to keep them as focused as possible, so we do a very small move (of the secondary),\u201d Jeletic said. \u201cWe do this (about) once a year. Nothing unusual about it. We actually moved the mirror less than two microns. Very, very small movements.\u201d<\/p>\n

Hubble is equipped with two primary computers, one that controls basic telescope functions and another, called a payload computer, that routes commands to the science instruments and formats their data for transmission to Earth. The payload computer crashes, or freezes up, about once every year or so, but Jeletic said its easily rebooted.<\/p>\n

\"Astronaut
Astronaut John Grunsfeld snapped this selfie using his reflection off the structure of the Hubble Space Telescope. Credit: NASA<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u201cAs far as the lifetime is concerned, I believe we will make it past 2020, and that\u2019s about as good as I can get because really, we could have great gyros and they could last five years, six years, seven years each, or we could all the sudden take a hit on gyros and now they\u2019re only lasting two or three years each,\u201d Jeletic said. \u201cThere\u2019s just no way to predict that.<\/p>\n

\u201cI think the instruments, we have enough redundancy up there that we\u2019ll as least have one good instrument of some sort out in that timeframe, if not two. Then you\u2019re just talking about how many other things after 30 years in orbit are breaking. It\u2019s impossible to tell. Trends look good, but it\u2019s just like anything you own. Your stereo can last you forever but then all the sudden, it goes. What just happened? Who knows? Some part just finally wore out.\u201d<\/p>\n

No matter how it plays out, NASA managers will be continually assessing the balance between Hubble\u2019s science return and the approximately $90 million a year it takes to operate the observatory. Senior management has indicated the agency will continue funding \u201cas long as we\u2019re doing good science,\u201d Jeletic said.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe may not get as much budget as we want, and we may have to try to figure out how to handle that scenario, but the bottom line is they are fully supportive, they recognize they have a scientific instrument up there that\u2019s phenomenal,\u201d he said. \u201cSo as long as it does good science, we\u2019ll use it.\u201d<\/p>\n

But with the shuttle now retired, with no chance of another servicing flight and with other missions putting pressure on NASA\u2019s budget, Hubble eventually will fall silent, either because of a catastrophic failure or the inevitable malfunctions that will make funding harder and harder to justify.<\/p>\n

But Hubble fans should have many more years beyond that to enjoy watching the space telescope fly overhead.<\/p>\n

NASA engineers initially projected that atmospheric drag \u2014 friction with the extreme upper atmosphere \u2014 would lower Hubble\u2019s altitude and lead to a fiery re-entry and breakup by the end of the 2020s.<\/p>\n

Because Hubble is massive enough that at least some components will survive to hit the ground, the last visiting shuttle crew installed a grapple fixture to enable a robotic space tug to lock on and drive the observatory into the atmosphere for a targeted entry, ensuring debris does not fall over a populated area.<\/p>\n

But the amount of drag experienced by the telescope depends on the effects of the 11-year solar cycle on Earth\u2019s atmosphere. Thanks to less solar activity that usual during the current cycle, the latest projections show Hubble likely will stay aloft until late 2038.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

STORY WRITTEN FOR ASTRONOMY NOW & USED WITH PERMISSION The Hubble Space Telescope after deployment from space shuttle Columbia during a 2002 servicing mission. Credit: NASA More than five years after a final shuttle servicing mission \u2014 and a quarter of a century since its launch in April 1990 \u2014 the Hubble Space Telescope is operating in […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[898],"class_list":["post-16370","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-hubble-space-telescope"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16370"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16370"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16370\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16370"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16370"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16370"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}