{"id":18466,"date":"2018-06-20T23:44:03","date_gmt":"2018-06-20T15:44:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wp-productionenv-bjg9h2g2bgg5b8aa.southeastasia-01.azurewebsites.net\/news\/white-house-lays-out-updated-plan-for-detecting-and-deflecting-killer-asteroids\/"},"modified":"2018-06-20T23:44:03","modified_gmt":"2018-06-20T15:44:03","slug":"white-house-lays-out-updated-plan-for-detecting-and-deflecting-killer-asteroids","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/news\/white-house-lays-out-updated-plan-for-detecting-and-deflecting-killer-asteroids\/","title":{"rendered":"White House lays out updated plan for detecting (and deflecting) killer asteroids"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_428858\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-428858\" style=\"width: 630px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full-width wp-image-428858\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.geekwire.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/180620-dart-630x383.png\" alt=\"Asteroid deflection\" width=\"630\" height=\"383\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.geekwire.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/180620-dart-630x383.png 630w, https:\/\/cdn.geekwire.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/180620-dart.png 640w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 630px) 100vw, 630px\"><figcaption data-nosnippet=\"\" id=\"caption-attachment-428858\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">NASA is planning missions to study how to divert a threatening asteroid, including an experiment known as DART, or Double Asteroid Redirection Test. (NASA Illustration)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The White House has issued an updated plan that lays out the roles played by NASA and other federal agencies in anticipating threats from near-Earth objects \u2014 and makes clear that if a threat arises, America will address it alone if need be to protect its national interests.<\/p>\n<p>The latest edition of the National Near-Earth Object Preparedness Plan lists steps to be taken over the next 10 years to heighten U.S. capabilities to respond to potentially threatening asteroids and comets.<\/p>\n<p>For now, the top priority is to detect and keep track of near-Earth objects, or NEOs, with NASA\u2019s Near-Earth Object Observation Program playing the lead role.<\/p>\n<p>NASA has already achieved one congressionally mandated objective&nbsp;\u2014 to detect more than 90 percent of the NEOs wider than 1 kilometer (0.6 miles). Such objects have the potential to cause mass extinctions on a scale similar to the blast that killed off the dinosaurs 65 million years ago.<\/p>\n<p>But the agency has fallen short in its progress on a follow-up objective, to detect 90 percent of the NEOs with diameters in excess of 140 meters (460 feet), which are considered \u201ccity-killers\u201d capable of wreaking regional destruction.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOur best estimate of that size population shows that about two-thirds remain to be found,\u201d Lindley Johnson, NASA\u2019s planetary defense officer, told journalists today.<\/p>\n<p>Looking ahead, Johnson said he expected the search to be expanded to look for NEOs as little as 50 meters (164 feet) across.<\/p>\n<p>The preparedness plan calls for boosting NEO-detecting capabilities, through ground-based telescope programs such as the yet-to-be-completed Large Synoptic Survey Telescope in Chile as well as space-based observing platforms.<\/p>\n<p>NASA has been considering a space mission known as NEOCam to help fill the gap. Johnson said some of the questions surrounding the mission, such as the performance of its infrared camera system how to deal with what\u2019s expected to be a flood of data, had to be resolved before NASA makes a decision on whether to launch NEOCam.<\/p>\n<p>The federal government aims to boost NASA\u2019s funding for asteroid detection and mitigation to $150 million next year. A significant chunk of that money will go toward preparations for a robotic mission called the&nbsp;Double Asteroid Redirection Test, or DART, Johnson said.<\/p>\n<p>DART, due for launch in 2020, is designed to study how smashing into a NEO can redirect its path. For DART, the target is a binary near-Earth asteroid called Didymos. Johnson said such a kinetic impact could conceivably be used in the future to deflect an asteroid from a threatening path.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"NASA has a new plan for dealing with asteroids\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/xvPbpgC626o?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen=\"\" data-ratio=\"0.5625\" data-width=\"800\" data-height=\"450\" style=\"display: block; margin: 0px; width: 800px; height: 450px;\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>At least two other deflection strategies are receiving serious consideration.<\/p>\n<p>If the potentially threatening asteroid is no bigger than about 100 meters, and if astronomers can provide several years\u2019 advance notice, NASA could send a \u201cgravity tractor\u201d to take up a position nearby. Over time, the probe\u2019s gravitational pull could nudge the asteroid onto a less threatening path. \u201cThat technique could be enhanced if the spacecraft could collect some mass from the surface,\u201d such as a large boulder, Johnson said.<\/p>\n<p>If the object is larger, or if there\u2019s less notice, a nuclear device might have to be exploded next to the NEO. The aim wouldn\u2019t necessarily be to break up the object, Johnson said. Instead, the blast would blow off material and create a \u201crocket push against the asteroid to divert it,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>NASA isn\u2019t the only federal agency thinking about the asteroid threat: Two years ago, the White House set up an interagency working group for detecting and mitigating the impact of Earth-bound near-Earth objects, or DAMIEN.<\/p>\n<p>DAMIEN\u2019s members include representatives from the Defense Department and the Federal Emergency Management Agency.<\/p>\n<p>Leviticus Lewis, chief of FEMA\u2019s National Response Coordination Branch, noted that NEO impacts are low-probability, high-consequence events&nbsp;\u2014 which adds to the challenge for emergency preparedness officials.<\/p>\n<p>Lewis said his agency has conducted three tabletop exercises so far to give officials a sense of what an asteroid threat might involve.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor emergency managers, this is so different we have to first educate them on why this is different,\u201d he said. \u201cFor instance, everybody in America knows what a hurricane curve looks like, or the error cone. But if we show impact possibilities from an asteroid, most emergency managers would have no idea what that means, or how NASA even came up with this information.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Johnson said the ideal would be to provide up to a decade\u2019s worth of warning about a NEO impact, but he acknowledged that there could be far less advance notice.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEven a short warning on the order of days or weeks is still valuable,\u201d he said. \u201cIt gives us enough time to evacuate an area where the impact may occur.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>So, who has the ultimate say on addressing the threat, and launching the nukes if necessary?<\/p>\n<p>The preparedness plan notes that NASA is part of the International Asteroid Warning Network, a U.N.-backed organization that focuses on collection and rapid reporting of asteroid sightings. NASA is also a member&nbsp;of the U.N.-mandated Space Mission Planning Advisory Group, which would make recommendations on responses to a NEO threat.<\/p>\n<p>But don\u2019t expect the United States to stand back if the United Nations dithers.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhile international cooperation is the most effective way to manage NEO impact risks, the United States should also be prepared to act independently through all phases that may occur during an impact scenario to protect and preserve America\u2019s interests,\u201d the plan says.<\/p>\n<p>And don\u2019t expect astronauts to wrangle a wayward NEO, the way they do in movies like \u201cArmageddon\u201d or \u201cDeep Impact.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt makes a good movie, but we do not see in our study any technique that would require the involvement of astronauts,\u201d Johnson said. \u201cOur studies just don\u2019t show that that is a needed element.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><em>For details, check out the Trump administration\u2019s NEO preparedness plan and compare it with the Obama administration\u2019s preparedness plan. And stay tuned for Asteroid Day, an annual consciousness-raising event on June 30.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NASA is planning missions to study how to divert a threatening asteroid, including an experiment known as DART, or Double Asteroid Redirection Test. (NASA Illustration) The White House has issued an updated plan that lays out the roles played by NASA and other federal agencies in anticipating threats from near-Earth objects \u2014 and makes clear [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[4365,4801,1519,190,1992],"class_list":["post-18466","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-asteroid","tag-asteroid-day","tag-asteroids","tag-nasa","tag-near-earth-objects"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18466"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18466"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18466\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18466"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18466"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18466"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}