{"id":24055,"date":"2024-04-06T18:32:24","date_gmt":"2024-04-06T10:32:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wp-productionenv-bjg9h2g2bgg5b8aa.southeastasia-01.azurewebsites.net\/news\/ahead-of-total-solar-eclipse-scientists-use-spacecraft-data-to-predict-the-suns-corona\/"},"modified":"2024-04-06T18:32:24","modified_gmt":"2024-04-06T10:32:24","slug":"ahead-of-total-solar-eclipse-scientists-use-spacecraft-data-to-predict-the-suns-corona","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/news\/ahead-of-total-solar-eclipse-scientists-use-spacecraft-data-to-predict-the-suns-corona\/","title":{"rendered":"Ahead of total solar eclipse, scientists use spacecraft data to predict the Sun\u2019s corona"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On April 8, a total solar eclipse will sweep across the continental United States \u2014 the first since 2017 and the last until Aug. 12, 2045. During totality, or the moment at which the Moon is completely covering the Sun, the Sun\u2019s outer atmosphere, called the corona, and other prominences become visible to the naked eye. Scientists often use total solar eclipses as a chance to observe and study the Sun\u2019s corona, and their results contribute to our understanding of stellar dynamics and solar storms and how they affect Earth.<\/p>\n<p>In the months and weeks leading up to a total solar eclipse, scientists will often use supercomputers and other models to generate a model of what the Sun\u2019s corona will look like during the eclipse. For the April 8 eclipse, scientists from Predictive Science used data from NASA\u2019s Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) spacecraft to predict the structure of the Sun\u2019s corona on April 8. Furthermore, to ensure that their model is up-to-date, the scientists also used NASA\u2019s Electra Supercomputer, which actively updates the team\u2019s model in real-time as new data from SDO is received.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>The Sun\u2019s corona is driven by heat and magnetic turbulence, which leads to the long strands of plasma that extend away from the Sun that can be seen during totality. However, these strands can extend much further out into space than we can see with the naked eye, creating \u201csolar wind\u201d that travels throughout the solar system, affecting different planets, moons, asteroids, and more.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"2024 North American Total Solar Eclipse\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/teUtSBS8sLA?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen=\"\" name=\"fitvid0\" data-gtm-yt-inspected-20=\"true\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>When solar wind hits a planet\u2019s atmosphere, energetic particles within magnetic fields around the planets react and produce a phenomenon known as aurora. Scientists often use the term \u201cspace weather\u201d to describe the interactions between solar wind and planets\u2019 atmospheres, as space weather events can vary from mild to severe, just like terrestrial weather that occurs within a planet\u2019s atmosphere. In fact, some of the most extreme space weather events, like coronal mass ejections, can disrupt communications technology, affect astronauts and satellites in orbit, and even harm the electrical grids we use to power our everyday lives.<\/p>\n<p>Scientists are often able to forecast space weather by regularly observing solar activity and conducting research on the Sun. The corona is perhaps the most important aspect of space weather and solar activity, which is why scientists take every chance they get to study it \u2014 during a total solar eclipse, for example.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"widget-title penci-border-arrow\">See Also<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>SDO Updates<\/li>\n<li>Space Science coverage<\/li>\n<li>NSF Store<\/li>\n<li>Click here to Join L2<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u201cIf you\u2019re going to predict the path of a coronal mass ejection, just like for a hurricane, to have this more accurate background is really important,\u201d said Predictive Science president Jon Linker.<\/p>\n<p>Astronomy<path d=\"M7.59009 18.59L9.00009 20L17.0001 12L9.00009 4L7.59009 5.41L14.1701 12\" style=\"animation: initial !important; background: initial !important; border: 0px !important; box-shadow: none !important; color: inherit !important; cursor: inherit !important; direction: inherit !important; display: inline !important; fill: currentcolor !important; filter: initial !important; float: none !important; margin: 0px !important; opacity: initial !important; outline: 0px !important; overflow: initial !important; padding: 0px !important; stroke: initial !important; transform: initial !important; vertical-align: initial !important; visibility: inherit !important;\"><\/path>SpaceX launch tickets<path d=\"M7.59009 18.59L9.00009 20L17.0001 12L9.00009 4L7.59009 5.41L14.1701 12\" style=\"animation: initial !important; background: initial !important; border: 0px !important; box-shadow: none !important; color: inherit !important; cursor: inherit !important; direction: inherit !important; display: inline !important; fill: currentcolor !important; filter: initial !important; float: none !important; margin: 0px !important; opacity: initial !important; outline: 0px !important; overflow: initial !important; padding: 0px !important; stroke: initial !important; transform: initial !important; vertical-align: initial !important; visibility: inherit !important;\"><\/path>SpaceX<path d=\"M7.59009 18.59L9.00009 20L17.0001 12L9.00009 4L7.59009 5.41L14.1701 12\" style=\"animation: initial !important; background: initial !important; border: 0px !important; box-shadow: none !important; color: inherit !important; cursor: inherit !important; direction: inherit !important; display: inline !important; fill: currentcolor !important; filter: initial !important; float: none !important; margin: 0px !important; opacity: initial !important; outline: 0px !important; overflow: initial !important; padding: 0px !important; stroke: initial !important; transform: initial !important; vertical-align: initial !important; visibility: inherit !important;\"><\/path>\n<p>     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});<\/p>\n<p>While SDO and other solar observatories like NASA\u2019s Parker Solar Probe and ESA\u2019s Solar Orbiter provide vital insights into the inner workings of the Sun\u2019s corona, scientists are still missing important information about the forces that drive the corona\u2019s activity. Having this information would help scientists better predict the corona\u2019s appearance and activity, subsequently improving space weather forecasts.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe don\u2019t have a way of measuring the magnetic field accurately in the corona. That\u2019s one of the things that makes this so challenging,\u201d said research scientist Emily Mason of Predictive Science.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-99286\" class=\"size-full wp-image-99286\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nasaspaceflight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-06-at-1.47.55-PM.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2338\" height=\"656\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nasaspaceflight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-06-at-1.47.55-PM.png 2338w, https:\/\/www.nasaspaceflight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-06-at-1.47.55-PM-350x98.png 350w, https:\/\/www.nasaspaceflight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-06-at-1.47.55-PM-630x177.png 630w, https:\/\/www.nasaspaceflight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-06-at-1.47.55-PM-768x215.png 768w, https:\/\/www.nasaspaceflight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-06-at-1.47.55-PM-1920x539.png 1920w, https:\/\/www.nasaspaceflight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-06-at-1.47.55-PM-1170x328.png 1170w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2338px) 100vw, 2338px\"><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-99286\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Predictive Science\u2019s coronal prediction for the 2017 total solar eclipse (right) and an image of the Sun\u2019s actual corona during totality (left). (Credit: Predictive Science Inc.\/Miloslav Druckm\u00fcller\/Peter Aniol\/Shadia Habbal)<\/p>\n<p>When building their model of the corona on April 8, the team of scientists used measurements of the changing magnetic field at the Sun\u2019s surface to drive their corona model in near real-time. In order to do this, the team created an automated process that converted raw SDO data into data that showed how magnetic flux and energy are directly injected into the corona over time. Including this data in their model allowed scientists to model how the corona evolves over time and creates solar eruptions.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe developed a software pipeline that took in the magnetic field maps, picked out all of the areas that should be energized, and then fine-tuned the amount of energy to add to those areas,\u201d Mason said<\/p>\n<p>Creating this automated data pipeline was a huge innovation for the team and corona prediction models. For past model development, teams had to use static snapshots of the surface magnetic field, meaning that models couldn\u2019t account for the ever-changing dynamics of the Sun\u2019s intense magnetic field and coronal activity \u2014 not ideal for the current period of heightened solar activity. What\u2019s more, scientists previously had to hand draw areas around the Sun that needed to be energized by analyzing ultraviolet activity around the Sun in certain regions.<\/p>\n<p>The April 8 eclipse is the first time this new data pipeline and model will be used to predict the corona during an eclipse. With total solar eclipses occurring once or twice every one to two years, the team will continue to update their models and data pipelines to ensure their models are as accurate as possible.<\/p>\n<p><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-1\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" allowtransparency=\"true\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" class=\"\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden; width: 0px; height: 0px; display: block; flex-grow: 1;\" title=\"X Post\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?creatorScreenName=haygenwarren&amp;dnt=true&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-1&amp;features=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%3D%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1776359883237097566&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nasaspaceflight.com%2F2024%2F04%2Fapril8-eclipse-corona%2F&amp;sessionId=5248e192c72bd1bd7bd8e29b16bc4e780c5a39d9&amp;siteScreenName=NASASpaceflight&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=6a3ad42b224df%3A1778106238597&amp;width=550px\" data-gtm-yt-inspected-20=\"true\" data-tweet-id=\"1776359883237097566\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\" data-twitter-extracted-i1783494571645728737=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Only 3 days left until the #TotalSolarEclipse of April 8, 2024! Have you checked our latest prediction of the structure of the corona, updated in near-real-time at https:\/\/t.co\/yaKS3Q7f8c? We have added new products over the past week, so here&#8217;s a rundown thread:<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Predictive Science Inc. (@predsci) April 5, 2024<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019ve used the eclipse predictions every time to do something new with the model. I\u2019m really excited to see over the next two weeks how this prediction keeps improving. I think it will be a really drastic difference from what we used to be able to do,\u201d said research scientist Cooper Downs of Predictive Science, who led the development of the automated modeling\/data pipeline.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe eclipse is just such a fantastic chance to go, \u2018Look at this! This is what we think it\u2019s going to look like! Don\u2019t you want to learn more about this?\u2019 It\u2019s a really exciting opportunity for us to share the things that excite us all year round with everybody else,\u201d Mason said.<\/p>\n<p><em>(Lead image: Prediction of the Sun\u2019s corona at totality in Dallas, Texas, on April 8. Credit: Predictive Science)<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On April 8, a total solar eclipse will sweep across the continental United States \u2014 the first since 2017 and the last until Aug. 12, 2045. During totality, or the moment at which the Moon is completely covering the Sun, the Sun\u2019s outer atmosphere, called the corona, and other prominences become visible to the naked [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[8299,1238,1409,1860,8300,8301,8302,2170,8303],"class_list":["post-24055","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-april-8","tag-corona","tag-eclipse","tag-heliophysics","tag-sdo","tag-solar-dynamics-observatory","tag-stellar-dynamics","tag-sun","tag-total-solar-eclipse"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24055"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24055"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24055\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24055"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24055"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/starpath.global\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24055"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}